Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.645800 4.383429 5.207702 6.193486 7.336573 8.616433 10.153807
2025-03-09 2.562221 3.490049 4.638130 6.148396 8.066202 10.402346 13.443146
2025-03-16 1.917276 2.910223 4.250474 6.158541 8.765970 12.160279 16.860402
2025-03-23 1.479263 2.474758 3.925830 6.137649 9.353446 13.776323 20.216767
2025-03-30 1.111293 2.041430 3.499663 5.867721 9.510331 14.772511 22.782175
2025-04-06 0.896943 1.792573 3.290585 5.861326 10.011329 16.260179 26.129064
2025-04-13 0.726841 1.575477 3.084947 5.812462 10.415479 17.612061 29.360177
2025-04-20 0.647856 1.504853 3.110196 6.137632 11.435690 19.974509 34.287966
2025-04-27 0.566827 1.410384 3.073058 6.341302 12.263171 22.086398 38.968257
2025-05-04 0.510302 1.353099 3.093406 6.644647 13.282118 24.576515 44.415681
2025-05-11 0.429920 1.223461 2.948059 6.613053 13.695147 26.077143 48.334617
2025-05-18 0.345782 1.062729 2.708949 6.361246 13.669481 26.811317 51.003062
2025-05-25 0.272256 0.909459 2.461072 6.063009 13.536805 27.371143 53.463687
2025-06-01 0.230572 0.828893 2.362138 6.062381 13.979889 28.996153 57.897002
2025-06-08 0.197043 0.761406 2.281152 6.087996 14.474803 30.749280 62.670396
2025-06-15 0.166975 0.694694 2.188735 6.072842 14.880022 32.357642 67.276453
2025-06-22 0.132112 0.599585 2.002248 5.807278 14.721451 32.862564 69.860613
2025-06-29 0.112441 0.549775 1.927985 5.801611 15.124117 34.491187 74.656070
2025-07-06 0.094602 0.499740 1.842265 5.753415 15.423687 35.929392 79.165862
2025-07-13 0.089062 0.496863 1.896387 6.075827 16.602182 39.236925 87.501118
2025-07-20 0.080972 0.480285 1.905095 6.277760 17.515779 42.050857 95.007881
2025-07-27 0.075772 0.474707 1.947942 6.578496 18.690401 45.483276 103.923445
2025-08-03 0.064640 0.436583 1.875795 6.547178 19.056337 47.215683 109.495228